Tlou Energy - a speculative buy considers Gary Newman

Bluejay - spoof share purchases, more disgusting behaviour & a blatant lie from disgraced SP Angel and the questions mount. Tom Winnifrith, the Sheriff of AIM, writes HERE

In Africa things always tend to take far longer than people expect, and even more so when it comes to anything in the natural resources sector. Interest in, and the share price of, Tlou Energy (TLOU) seems to have waned and I think that has largely been as a result of some having far too optimistic timescales with regards to the company’s coal bed methane project at Lesedi, in Botswana. The share price has drifted back to 6.5p on the ask currently, and has been even lower than that recently, but for me nothing has really changed in terms of the investment case here and I would still view it as a speculative buy with the potential to be worth a lot more in the future than the current £25 million market cap if things go to plan for the company.

IndigoVision – “Posting of Circular & Notice of General Meeting” announcement a disgrace - & shame on the remuneration committee says Steve Moore HERE

It already has reserves and contingent resources in place and the management behind the company have history in the field of CBMs, plus there is plenty of potential for further upgrades from gas still in the prospective resources category. In terms of the gas that it has already proven up, it has 2P reserves of 40.8bcf, and whilst that might not sound particularly exciting when taken on its own, it also has 3P reserves of 426bcf across its licences, plus plenty of potential from 2C contingent resources of 214bcf, and 3C of more than 3tcf. On top of the that the prospective resources from its other three licences could be more than 8.5tcf, although it is very early days and those licences are still at the exploration stage. Those of you who have experience of the natural resources sector will know that it is all about getting it out of the ground and monitising the asset, and in the case of Tlou that doesn’t look far away, although development will be phased and it is likely to take some time to see real returns in terms of profit.

Share Centre “Backs” Woodford despite Brexit - gosh, I must be stupid. Read Nigel Somerville HERE

The Botswana government has been very supportive of the project and a production licence is in place, but the success of Tlou will largely be driven by the success of it winning contracts for gas-to-power projects. So far it has already been short-listed as just one of two companies to tender for a 100MW plant, although that process has been dragging on longer than expected, and it is expected that development would be staged, starting with a 10MW plant. A pilot well drilling programme is now underway, and this could lead to an initial 2MW of power, which would be expanded up to 10MW as further wells were drilled. The company seems to have been able to raise capital when it has needed to as well, including from institutional investors and the directors – with £2.4 million recently coming from African Alliance Botswana, plus a further £4.4 million odd from placings and an equity entitlement offer.

Mayan Energy - CEO walks but the lunatics still run the asylum. Read HERE

I would still view this share as being highly speculative given the stage that it is at and there are still risks, and potential for things to go wrong – failure to win this initial tender would have a significant negative impact on the share price I would imagine. But it is also worth remembering that Botswana is possibly the most stable country in the region in which to do business, plus the whole area is in desperate need of power generation, and given that Tlou not only has the resources, but also the necessary permits/licences to make use of that gas, I can see plenty of potential. I would consider this as a longer term buy from the 6.5p area, and if the company enjoys even a modicum of success, then I think you will be pleased with the eventual outcome.

Gold often has a false move before THE big move. Video HERE

Filed under: Tlou Energy, TLOU, Bluejay, IndigoVision, Woodford, Mayan Energy, gold

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02/21/2019

Yourgene - debt cleared; this is an amazing deal (plus comment on Hardman) from Tom Winnifrith

02/20/2019

Whitbread has a plan and Restaurant Group patently does not says Chris Bailey

02/15/2019

Thoughts on The US Market Juggernaut - and Tesla & IQE - from Lucian Miers

02/14/2019

Ariana Resources - Nigel Somerville updates on buy tip for 2019

02/13/2019

Is the Petrofac share price collapse a good buying or trading opportunity? Gary Newman reviews...

02/12/2019

Red Rock Resources – updates on Congo progress, Buy to almost double says Tom Winnifrith

02/11/2019

Thomas Cook - not buying its holidays but still liking its shares says Chris Bailey

02/08/2019

Union Jack Oil - various potential share price catalysts by HotStockRockets

02/07/2019

Centrica - good total return value? Chris Bailey reviews

02/06/2019

Tesla Q4 earnings call - One More Thing. From Lucian Miers

02/05/2019

Reach4Entertainment - 2018 significantly ahead & also expects 2019 ahead; Buy

02/04/2019

Is Rank really so dank? Chris Bailey reviews

02/01/2019

Dominos Pizza, Crest Nicholson, Royal Mail & PZ Cussons - any buys amongst them?

01/31/2019

IQE - sell the rally says Lucian Miers

01/30/2019

Is Tesco talking sense? Chris Bailey reviews

01/29/2019

Bluebird Merchant Ventures - rapid progress to positive cash flow?

01/28/2019

Obtala - Long Term Incentive Plan announcement... but no need for shareholder anger here

01/25/2019

I told you Metro Bank was dodgy...and not to underestimate Chinese chavs re. Burberry

01/24/2019

KAZ Minerals has the potential to become a copper mining giant in the future considers Gary Newman

01/23/2019

Character Group - reassuring AGM trading update, a speculative buy?

01/22/2019

Update on Flybe - Short Term Lifeline for the Retail Punter from Lucian Miers

01/21/2019

Obtala - quarterly update, now supercharging development. From HotStockRockets

01/18/2019

Headlam - time to buy? Chris Bailey considers...

01/17/2019

Telit - auto sale on track, but trading statement is a load of cobblers. Sell says Tom Winnifrith

01/16/2019

Shoe Zone - a value proposition suited to the challenging consumer environment?

01/15/2019

Flybe put out of its misery for 1p. Next up for near wipeout is Interserve says Lucian Miers

01/14/2019

Sosander - Q3 trading statement update from Nigel Somerville

01/11/2019

Union Jack Oil - Biscathorpe-2 well spud, let the excitement commence…

01/10/2019

Christmas trading update time - Morrisons, Greene King or Joules a buy?

01/09/2019

Bowleven - time for a small drop of Ouzo as 15p special dividend is announced says Nigel Somerville

01/08/2019

KEFI Minerals - shares slightly lower on Tulu Kapi project update, BUT...

01/07/2019

Next - no profits growth... but that is fine argues Chris Bailey

01/04/2019

Five slam-dunk shares to sell for 2019 by Nigel Somerville

01/03/2019

A share tip of the year for 2019 from Tom Winnifrith

01/02/2019

Rockhopper Exploration - a long term buy at the current price?

01/01/2019

Highland Gold is well worth considering says Gary Newman

12/31/2018

A share tip of the year for 2019 from Gary Newman of ShareProphets

12/28/2018

Investment is all about passion...not passion investments says Chris Bailey

12/27/2018

Professor Malcolm Stacey with his World Famous Christmas Lecture...

12/24/2018

What looks interesting in the FTSE 100? Chris Bailey reviews...

12/21/2018

Optibiotix - board strengthened, still a buy?

12/20/2018

Boohoo vs ASOS - could one unravel very soon indeed?

12/19/2018

Retail & SSE plc omnishambles, but some value in the sectors? Chris Bailey reviews...

12/18/2018

Lessons from AA plc. Lucian Miers writes...

12/17/2018

PZ Cussons - time for a research trip to Nigeria? Chris Bailey writes...

12/14/2018

Wood Group, Superdry, Dixons Carphone & DP Poland - any buys from a busy RNS day?

12/13/2018

KEFI Minerals - positive regulatory consent news in the coming weeks?

12/12/2018

Thoughts on Thomas Cook - stay away, Short Flybe instead says Lucian Miers

12/11/2018

Petropavlovsk - POX Hub processing milestone, Buy

12/10/2018

Yourgene - Premaitha as was - interim numbers not impressive, but still a strong buy?

12/07/2018

Numis statement shows why the finnCap IPO is such a stinker says Tom Winnifrith

12/06/2018

Synectics - remains a recovery buy say Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore

12/04/2018

Blue Prism Group - argues it is pleased in trading update, but shares still a sell?

11/29/2018

Greencore & Ibstock - a tale of two disposals from Chris Bailey

11/28/2018

Premier Oil could see a swift rise when oil bounces considers Gary Newman

11/27/2018

Optibiotix - Greek deal news via Adam Reynolds keyboard, but better to come. Buy.

11/26/2018

Updated thoughts on Tesla - stay short says Lucian Miers

11/23/2018

Three larger cap buy ideas from Chris Bailey

11/22/2018

AO World - interims argue remains confident, but can high growth rating really be justified?

11/21/2018

Dividend stocks & what to make of the Brexit omnishambles from Nigel Somerville

11/20/2018

Sirius Minerals - patience will pay longer term argues Gary Newman

11/19/2018

Falanx - shares to still more than double?

11/16/2018

Victoria - update on bond fiasco, remains a sell says Lucian Miers

11/14/2018

Glencore looks too cheap considers Gary Newman

11/13/2018

Bowleven - raising my stance back to buy says Nigel Somerville

11/12/2018

First Derivatives - it is smoke & mirrors, keep selling says Lucian Miers

11/09/2018

Buy ITV and Marks & Spencer?

11/08/2018

Imperial Brands - fade the moral outrage & buy says Chris Bailey

11/07/2018

Bushveld Minerals - banking some profit prudent, but still more to come?

11/06/2018

Keep buying any weakness in Centamin as the company is now back on track says Gary Newman

11/05/2018

Horizonte Minerals - I remain confident following feasibility study says Gary Newman

11/02/2018

Obtala - sharpens focus & a fundraising, still a buy says HotStockRockets

11/01/2018

Restaurant Group - what to make of Wagamama acquisition? Chris Bailey reviews

10/31/2018

Cairn Energy will see rapid production growth in the coming years - Buy says Gary Newman

10/30/2018

Barryroe could still come good for Lansdowne Oil - speculative buy says Gary Newman

10/29/2018

WPP advertises a shocker - where now?

10/26/2018

Barclays or Metro Bank - who to fancy in a financials cage fight?

10/25/2018

Whitbread - a core FTSE-100 holding? Chris Bailey reviews

10/24/2018

Anglo Asian Mining - a golden buy?

10/23/2018

Alba Mineral Resources - updates from Wales and Horse Hill, excitement soon to be sparked?

10/22/2018

Shoe Zone - shares jump on ‘ahead of expectations’ update, but still an income buy

10/19/2018

SOCO International - a lot to like at this share price level, buy says Gary Newman

10/18/2018

Ariana Resources - gold production & exploration positives. Nigel Somerville writes

10/17/2018

Shenanigans at First Derivatives Do Not Look Good. Sell says Lucian Miers

10/16/2018

Five large caps for capital growth from Chris Bailey

10/15/2018

Dunelm - am I at danger of buying some frilly curtains? (and more). Chris Bailey writes

10/12/2018

Synectics - a buy for recovery say Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore

10/11/2018

Versarien remains a sell for the brave (& First Derivatives). Lucian Miers writes

10/10/2018

Rose Petroleum - a buy says HotStockRockets

10/09/2018

Union Jack Oil - adding to material potential catalysts. Buy says HotStockRockets

10/08/2018

Tlou Energy - a speculative buy considers Gary Newman

10/05/2018

Tesco - shares now too cheap? Chris Bailey reviews

10/04/2018

easyJet & Royal Mail - where now after share price shockers? Chris Bailey reviews

10/03/2018

Goldplat - post full-year results, a buy suggests HotStockRockets

10/02/2018

Columbus Energy Resources - after interims remains a buy says HotStockRockets

10/01/2018

Bluebird Merchant Ventures - updates on projects, remains a buy says HotStockRockets

09/28/2018

Next & Imperial Brands - following news, updated views from Chris Bailey

09/27/2018

Why I would short Time Out Group says Gary Newman

09/26/2018

Randgold merger - what to do? Chris Bailey reviews

09/25/2018

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