Whitbread has a plan and Restaurant Group patently does not says Chris Bailey

Optibiotix - trading statement & company chat, this really is great news says Tom Winnifrith HERE

Like the investment sad-o that I am, I spent a good while pacing through the one hundred plus slides that formed the Whitbread (WTB) capital markets day presentation. Recall - as I have written up at length before - that the company is now all about the Premier Inn asset after Coca-Cola's largesse in buying Costa Coffee for a pretty sum. Right at the back of the presentation document Whitbread noted that it would return over £2.5 billion of the £3.9 billion proceeds back to investors – which is not a bad slice of the cake. Meanwhile industrial and pension debts/deficits get lowered further...and the company can also easily finance its expansion plan…

Bearcast - From the Grim North my Argo folly compounds itself. Listen HERE

All of this will occur over the next six months, and Whitbread remains a growth business. It sees potential for over 110k UK hotel rooms compared to a current base of just over 74k. Meanwhile in Germany its fledgling efforts to date have gone very well and it anticipates the current base of 2k rooms to ultimately expand to 50k. I would rate both growth hopes as credible because of the accrued experience and historic performance of the Premier Inn brand. The Capital Markets Day unsurprisingly lingered long on various pieces of third party research which loved up the brand...but such an assertion feels correct to me in my personal experience. Given a choice I will pay the £10-20 extra for a Premier Inn room compared to harsher rivals such as Travelodge whether travelling for business or pleasure. Meanwhile in Germany the sheer scope for a bunch of 1970s B&B style budget hotels to be squeezed out of the running (as we have seen in the UK and France) is very clear.

Plus500 – share buyback & shareholder moves. A 1760p price target… or not? Read HERE

Throw in the good economics of all this (teen percentage returns on capital as a hotel starts to mature a couple of years post-build) and the strengthened balance sheet and I would suggest you have a winner. Speculatively, Whitbread may also attract a bid tilt from some of the large specialist hotels names around the world who prefer - like Coca-Cola with Costa - to buy rather than build, so returns might come quickly or not. Bottom line I like the stock and want to keep on holding it here. So from the sublime...to the ludicrous. I have stuck the knife into Restaurant Group (RTN)'s comical plan re. Wagamama before. It overpaid, had to have a money raising to finance AND I am not convinced it really provides any notable synergies. Anyhow - to add to the interesting backdrop mix around this one - news now that the CEO of Restaurant Group, Andy McCue, has left the business citing personal reasons and circumstances.

Major blow to Edenville Energy's coal-to-power plans. Gary Newman writes HERE

Now I do not know the truth behind all this – and wish Mr McCue good luck and good health, but it is another curveball on this name which remains totally uninvestable. The shares are down over 10% as I write...too right. A continued short/avoid. In summary, book your Premier Inn room with freedom but maybe have your meal in-house there rather than rocking up to your local Wagamama or Frankie & Benny's.

RBS gives its shareholders both profit and dividend horn. Read more from Chris Bailey HERE

Filed under: Whitbread, Restaurant Group, Optibiotix, Argo Blockchain, Bearcast, Plus500, Edenville Energy, RBS

Next - if you want an annuity large cap core non-food retailer...

03/22/2019

Argo Blockchain - now a buy?

03/21/2019

Wood Group - chill out despite fall on results?

03/20/2019

Prudential - snaffling a few shares a suitable compromise? Chris Bailey writes...

03/19/2019

Anglo Asian Mining - long term buy and hold says Gary Newman

03/18/2019

Dignity: still worrying about competition in death warns Chris Bailey

03/15/2019

Concepta - signs up with Boots: Game ON. From HotStockRockets

03/14/2019

Further short term dips in Avesoro Resources will offer a good buying opportunity says Gary Newman

03/13/2019

Telit Communications - patience will reward those who are short at these levels says Lucian Miers

03/12/2019

Is it worth taking a gamble on the Guyana drill of Eco Atlantic? Gary Newman reviews...

03/11/2019

SDX Energy should perform well in 2019 and beyond says Gary Newman

03/08/2019

Synectics - results subdued, but confident of good progress from here

03/07/2019

A Turbulent Week at Tesla - sell before it is too late says Lucian Miers

03/06/2019

Abcam - review of a clever, innovative (but also fat cat pay) company by Chris Bailey

03/05/2019

Dividend Munchers Update by Nigel Somerville

03/04/2019

Centamin - the market has vastly over-reacted argues Gary Newman

03/01/2019

RNS potpourri - M&S and Ocado, GVC, ITV, Taylor Wimpey...and badboy Metro Bank from Chris Bailey

02/28/2019

Tesla - shorters patience will be rewarded in 2019 says Lucian Miers

02/27/2019

Reach4Entertainment - I am going to be honest ref. placing and acquisition. From Tom Winnifrith

02/25/2019

Purplebricks - catastrophic warning: target price 0p says Tom Winnifrith

02/22/2019

Lloyds - you cannot eat relative performance... but still bet on the black horse says Chris Bailey

02/21/2019

Yourgene - debt cleared; this is an amazing deal (plus comment on Hardman) from Tom Winnifrith

02/20/2019

Whitbread has a plan and Restaurant Group patently does not says Chris Bailey

02/15/2019

Thoughts on The US Market Juggernaut - and Tesla & IQE - from Lucian Miers

02/14/2019

Ariana Resources - Nigel Somerville updates on buy tip for 2019

02/13/2019

Is the Petrofac share price collapse a good buying or trading opportunity? Gary Newman reviews...

02/12/2019

Red Rock Resources – updates on Congo progress, Buy to almost double says Tom Winnifrith

02/11/2019

Thomas Cook - not buying its holidays but still liking its shares says Chris Bailey

02/08/2019

Union Jack Oil - various potential share price catalysts by HotStockRockets

02/07/2019

Centrica - good total return value? Chris Bailey reviews

02/06/2019

Tesla Q4 earnings call - One More Thing. From Lucian Miers

02/05/2019

Reach4Entertainment - 2018 significantly ahead & also expects 2019 ahead; Buy

02/04/2019

Is Rank really so dank? Chris Bailey reviews

02/01/2019

Dominos Pizza, Crest Nicholson, Royal Mail & PZ Cussons - any buys amongst them?

01/31/2019

IQE - sell the rally says Lucian Miers

01/30/2019

Is Tesco talking sense? Chris Bailey reviews

01/29/2019

Bluebird Merchant Ventures - rapid progress to positive cash flow?

01/28/2019

Obtala - Long Term Incentive Plan announcement... but no need for shareholder anger here

01/25/2019

I told you Metro Bank was dodgy...and not to underestimate Chinese chavs re. Burberry

01/24/2019

KAZ Minerals has the potential to become a copper mining giant in the future considers Gary Newman

01/23/2019

Character Group - reassuring AGM trading update, a speculative buy?

01/22/2019

Update on Flybe - Short Term Lifeline for the Retail Punter from Lucian Miers

01/21/2019

Obtala - quarterly update, now supercharging development. From HotStockRockets

01/18/2019

Headlam - time to buy? Chris Bailey considers...

01/17/2019

Telit - auto sale on track, but trading statement is a load of cobblers. Sell says Tom Winnifrith

01/16/2019

Shoe Zone - a value proposition suited to the challenging consumer environment?

01/15/2019

Flybe put out of its misery for 1p. Next up for near wipeout is Interserve says Lucian Miers

01/14/2019

Sosander - Q3 trading statement update from Nigel Somerville

01/11/2019

Union Jack Oil - Biscathorpe-2 well spud, let the excitement commence…

01/10/2019

Christmas trading update time - Morrisons, Greene King or Joules a buy?

01/09/2019

Bowleven - time for a small drop of Ouzo as 15p special dividend is announced says Nigel Somerville

01/08/2019

KEFI Minerals - shares slightly lower on Tulu Kapi project update, BUT...

01/07/2019

Next - no profits growth... but that is fine argues Chris Bailey

01/04/2019

Five slam-dunk shares to sell for 2019 by Nigel Somerville

01/03/2019

A share tip of the year for 2019 from Tom Winnifrith

01/02/2019

Rockhopper Exploration - a long term buy at the current price?

01/01/2019

Highland Gold is well worth considering says Gary Newman

12/31/2018

A share tip of the year for 2019 from Gary Newman of ShareProphets

12/28/2018

Investment is all about passion...not passion investments says Chris Bailey

12/27/2018

Professor Malcolm Stacey with his World Famous Christmas Lecture...

12/24/2018

What looks interesting in the FTSE 100? Chris Bailey reviews...

12/21/2018

Optibiotix - board strengthened, still a buy?

12/20/2018

Boohoo vs ASOS - could one unravel very soon indeed?

12/19/2018

Retail & SSE plc omnishambles, but some value in the sectors? Chris Bailey reviews...

12/18/2018

Lessons from AA plc. Lucian Miers writes...

12/17/2018

PZ Cussons - time for a research trip to Nigeria? Chris Bailey writes...

12/14/2018

Wood Group, Superdry, Dixons Carphone & DP Poland - any buys from a busy RNS day?

12/13/2018

KEFI Minerals - positive regulatory consent news in the coming weeks?

12/12/2018

Thoughts on Thomas Cook - stay away, Short Flybe instead says Lucian Miers

12/11/2018

Petropavlovsk - POX Hub processing milestone, Buy

12/10/2018

Yourgene - Premaitha as was - interim numbers not impressive, but still a strong buy?

12/07/2018

Numis statement shows why the finnCap IPO is such a stinker says Tom Winnifrith

12/06/2018

Synectics - remains a recovery buy say Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore

12/04/2018

Blue Prism Group - argues it is pleased in trading update, but shares still a sell?

11/29/2018

Greencore & Ibstock - a tale of two disposals from Chris Bailey

11/28/2018

Premier Oil could see a swift rise when oil bounces considers Gary Newman

11/27/2018

Optibiotix - Greek deal news via Adam Reynolds keyboard, but better to come. Buy.

11/26/2018

Updated thoughts on Tesla - stay short says Lucian Miers

11/23/2018

Three larger cap buy ideas from Chris Bailey

11/22/2018

AO World - interims argue remains confident, but can high growth rating really be justified?

11/21/2018

Dividend stocks & what to make of the Brexit omnishambles from Nigel Somerville

11/20/2018

Sirius Minerals - patience will pay longer term argues Gary Newman

11/19/2018

Falanx - shares to still more than double?

11/16/2018

Victoria - update on bond fiasco, remains a sell says Lucian Miers

11/14/2018

Glencore looks too cheap considers Gary Newman

11/13/2018

Bowleven - raising my stance back to buy says Nigel Somerville

11/12/2018

First Derivatives - it is smoke & mirrors, keep selling says Lucian Miers

11/09/2018

Buy ITV and Marks & Spencer?

11/08/2018

Imperial Brands - fade the moral outrage & buy says Chris Bailey

11/07/2018

Bushveld Minerals - banking some profit prudent, but still more to come?

11/06/2018

Keep buying any weakness in Centamin as the company is now back on track says Gary Newman

11/05/2018

Horizonte Minerals - I remain confident following feasibility study says Gary Newman

11/02/2018

Obtala - sharpens focus & a fundraising, still a buy says HotStockRockets

11/01/2018

Restaurant Group - what to make of Wagamama acquisition? Chris Bailey reviews

10/31/2018

Cairn Energy will see rapid production growth in the coming years - Buy says Gary Newman

10/30/2018

Barryroe could still come good for Lansdowne Oil - speculative buy says Gary Newman

10/29/2018

WPP advertises a shocker - where now?

10/26/2018

Barclays or Metro Bank - who to fancy in a financials cage fight?

10/25/2018

Whitbread - a core FTSE-100 holding? Chris Bailey reviews

10/24/2018

Anglo Asian Mining - a golden buy?

10/23/2018

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