Tesla Q2 another milestone on the road to bankruptcy and ruin says Lucian Miers

Redemptions Watch: Neil Woodford’s Income Focus Fund gains... but will WEIF fiasco renew redemptions? Read HERE

On Wednesday evening Tesla (NASDAQ - TSLA) passed another important milestone on the road to bankruptcy by showing that even with record deliveries of 95,000 vehicles in Q2 it is incapable of making money. Having promised in Q3 last year that the company would be profitable from now on-in and not require further funding, having raised $2.4 billion in May, it has now racked up losses of $1.3 billion in the first six months of the year. The departure of the last remaining grown up, co-founder JB Straubel, who has been selling stock all year, is also cause for grave concern...

Read HERE: Xpediator – from “benefiting from increased activity… well positioned” to “materially below market expectations” in less than two months!...

Prices of the higher-margin premium S and X models have had to be cut to boost flagging demand and, alarmingly, the lower margin model 3 is losing money at an average selling price of $50,000. Given that this was supposed to be sold into the mass market at $30,000 and the original $7,500 tax credit is down to $1,875 from July 1st and will disappear altogether at the year end, it is little wonder that the bulls are having to look elsewhere for a growth story to justify the crazy valuation.

Centrica – interims see dividend slashed, CEO walk, Debt up and a loss. What’s not to like? Nigel Somerville writes HERE

The great hopes now are autonomous driving and China. Despite the fact that all the competition reckons that the former is at least ten years away, Musk - doubtless emboldened by the fact that his constant and flagrant mendacity goes unpunished and is lapped up by his cult followers - actively encourages the hopelessly unrealistic notion that Tesla will have a profitable robo-taxi fleet up and running by the end of 2020. As for China, there is huge competition in the EV market there and it is far from clear why Tesla will be able to make cars profitably when it is unable to do so at home.

Reckitt's is in good health...despite its dull Health business says Chris Bailey HERE

To value Tesla as some sort of fast-growing software company is to make extraordinarily optimistic assumptions. Growth companies do not as a rule reduce capex to below the depreciation charge or start incurring restructuring charges. They also tend to show signs of profitability by the time they reach their fifteenth birthday. Analysts’ revenue forecast of $6.7 billion for Q3 is less than that achieved in Q3 ’18. It therefore makes more sense to value Tesla as a cyclical auto manufacturer, and apply a hefty discount for the risk of insolvency implied by its huge debt burden. It is an extraordinary sign of the times that billions of dollars of junk bonds now have negative yields and that yields on BB-rated bonds - the top end of junk - yield 1.9% on average. That Tesla’s debt yields 8% plus tells you all you need to know. The shares, of course, are a sell.

YU cannot be serious – interim trading statement full of holes: still a sell. Read more from Nigel Somerville HERE

Filed under: Tesla, Woodford Income Focus Fund, Xpediator, Centrica, Reckitt Benckiser, Yu Group

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