British American Tobacco - positive pre-close update. Remains a Buy says Chris Bailey...

Lying by Remote Monitored Systems & SP Angel of the fraud MySquar infamy. Letter to AIM Regulation HERE

April was not an easy month for the largest London-listed tobacco stocks. As I observed at the time it was a US tobacco market shocker for Imperial Brands (IMB) and British American Tobacco (BATS) back then, although I remained optimistic on both stocks. Since then the shares have recovered and, after a positive recent update from the former, how has BAT got on with its update now?

Amigo is still bullsh*tting – fake threat of insolvency says Tom Winnifrith HERE

Its comments observed that it is ‘creating brands of the future and...added +1.4 million non-combustible product consumers in Q1, to reach a total of 14.9 million’. In practical terms what this will mean is full year 2021 numbers showing an above 5% rise in constant currency revenue, ‘mid-single digit adjusted diluted constant currency EPS growth’ and ‘leverage reducing to around c.3x adjusted net debt / adjusted EBITDA by year end’. It sounds as if we will get more formal numbers out in July, but given the stock already is trading at a barely x10 EV:ebit multiple whilst offering a 9%+ dividend, hopes for FY21 and beyond will improve.

We are back living in the 1980s say RICS statistics and possibly hope BT shareholders! Read HERE

It is notable that BAT has a target of ‘£5 billion New Category revenue by 2025’, along with ‘50 million consumers of non-combustible products and carbon neutrality across our own operations by 2030’. Patently, the tobacco business is changing. Last week I read an article which conserved the notion ‘why banning tobacco could actually be a boon for smokers’. All of this is about the change of the sector. Clearly fewer individuals are smoking cigarettes for a variety of reasons, but companies such as BAT are talking all the time about how the demand for a broader range of products is still apparent. It observed that its ‘New Category products’ are now sold in 74 markets across 53 countries and which it sees continued growth prospects over the rest of the 2020s and into the 2030s. Consequently it observes that its current growth products such as Vuse ‘independently confirmed as the first global carbon neutral vape brand’ and unsurprisingly now leads the category in 16 states in the US.

BREAKING: Julie Meyer’s crackpot letter to shareholders in Viva as she still can’t get 2019 accounts out. Read HERE

As noted in April, there is still a lot of debate about the tobacco sector, but my observation would be that an ability to offer different projects in a free choice society is still going to have an angle. BAT also noted that ‘in 2021, we set additional stretching targets, which include achieving carbon neutrality across our value chain by 2050 and 100% renewable electricity in operations sites by 2030’. Personally I would never smoke myself but in my opinion it should not be banned either (and let’s face it governments love the tax revenue side too). No surprise that BAT shares are up and my view is that they remain a BUY with a target 20% plus above the current 2820p share price. Such share price appreciation should also be aided by the observation that ‘Refinitiv ranking BAT as the third highest ESG-rated FTSE100 company, the Financial Times naming us as Climate and Diversity leaders, and being recognised as a Global Top Employer for the fourth year in a row by the Top Employers Institute’. Such methods are not an individually attractive way of appraising a share but many fund managers will be utilising them over the next few years...which is another reason to be long this stock/sector.

Breaking: Pocahontas says Bitcoin an environmental disaster for our planet HERE

Filed under: British American Tobacco, Remote Monitored Systems, Amigo, BT, Julie Meyer, Bitcoin

Tandem Group - positive interims & outlook...

09/24/2021

PZ Cussons - a bad day Buy suggests Chris Bailey...

09/23/2021

Touchstar - interims & expects full-year ahead of expectations, Buy says HotStockRockets...

09/22/2021

Kier Group will undoubtedly like more government spending says Chris Bailey...

09/21/2021

Jadestone Energy - interims, production and cash flow growth to come...

09/20/2021

B.P. Marsh & Partners - half-year trading update, reasons for confidence...

09/17/2021

AltynGold - interims, results of capex look promising...

09/16/2021

Horizonte Minerals - project funding nearing a conclusion. Buy says Gary Newman...

09/15/2021

Wishbone Gold - further step to exploration progress. An update from HotStockRockets...

09/14/2021

Gold & Bluebird Merchant Ventures a buy? Nigel Somerville writes...

09/13/2021

Asiamet Resources - drilling update highlights further potential, Buy...

09/10/2021

CMC Markets - buy the recent weakness? Gary Newman reviews...

09/09/2021

Still a Headlam lover post its first half numbers says Chris Bailey

09/08/2021

EnQuest - interims, some production disappointment but still clear value potential?...

09/07/2021

Jadestone Energy - long-term attractions from this successful share tip?...

09/06/2021

Essentra - further recovery upside...

09/03/2021

Barclays - acquisition news. Still two quid & out? Chris Bailey reviews...

09/02/2021

Polymetal - value & growth potential? Gary Newman writes...

09/01/2021

Kefi Gold & Copper - more positive news considers HotStockRockets...

08/31/2021

Kefi Gold & Copper - Tulu Kapi funding update. Positive but how much?...

08/27/2021

Touchstone Exploration - Q2 update, remains a Buy says HotStockRockets...

08/26/2021

Anglo Asian Mining - Zafar maiden JORC Mineral Resource adds to potential

08/25/2021

Ibstock - based on broader issues than the Sunday press suggested, but a buy says Chris Bailey

08/24/2021

SkinBioTherapeutics - Business Update, high margin profit potential moving closer...

08/23/2021

OptiBiotix Health - extends Seed Health territories. Strong Buy...

08/20/2021

Jubilee Metals - positive production and prices says Gary Newman...

08/19/2021

BP - Q2 2021 results, creating value now & for the future?...

08/18/2021

When the FTSE 100 dumps next, have a look at Prudential says Chris Bailey

08/17/2021

Empresaria - longer-term upside, but what about the short-term? A review from HotStockRockets...

08/16/2021

Seed Innovations - a buy again? A review from HotStockRockets...

08/13/2021

Ariana Resources - more drilling results & time to buy more? Nigel Somerville writes...

08/12/2021

Still a Rolls-Royce believer says Chris Bailey...

08/11/2021

Gold and gold stocks - what is ahead? Nigel Somerville reviews...

08/10/2021

OptiBiotix Health - shares up on trading & commercial update, much further to go...

08/09/2021

Impellam - half-year recovery but more to come...

08/06/2021

Empresaria - half-year trading update, recovery building says HotStockRockets

08/05/2021

Johnson Matthey - still excited about prospects writes Chris Bailey...

08/04/2021

Rio Tinto - the story remains so much more than just cultural heritage says Chris Bailey

08/03/2021

Metals Exploration - Q2 challenges but a better outlook considers HotStockRockets

08/02/2021

Castillo Copper - further copper intersections & visible mineralisation, Buy

07/30/2021

British American Tobacco shares continue to offer attractive total return hopes says Chris Bailey

07/29/2021

Reckitt - recent share price decline too severe? Chris Bailey reviews...

07/28/2021

Centamin - remains a buy following Q2 report says Nigel Somerville

07/27/2021

Union Jack Oil - West Newton update, clear upcoming catalysts...

07/26/2021

Bluebird Merchant Ventures - operational update shows progress is being made, Buy...

07/23/2021

Saga offers interesting exposure to the travel industry bouncing back considers Gary Newman

07/22/2021

easyJet - ten quid or more share price again by the end of the year? Chris Bailey writes...

07/21/2021

Headlam Group - a recovery buy?...

07/20/2021

Burberry - chav challenges? Chris Bailey reviews...

07/19/2021

Orcadian Energy - a newly-listed AIM oiler Buy suggests Peter Brailey...

07/16/2021

Kosmos Energy - production & share price upside potential says Gary Newman...

07/15/2021

Cairn Energy - a lot to like at this price? Gary Newman reviews...

07/14/2021

DS Smith - further recovery & structural growth potential following full-year results?...

07/13/2021

GlaxoSmithKline - a recovery buy...

07/12/2021

Wm Morrison - recommended offer, but is there still more to come?

07/09/2021

Pick and choose your stocks - and if you need to houses - carefully says Chris Bailey...

07/08/2021

After Wm Morrison, J Sainsbury next? Chris Bailey writes...

07/07/2021

I3 Energy has turned things around - plenty of further potential considers Gary Newman...

07/06/2021

AEX Gold - Nalunaq and exploration update, Buy...

07/05/2021

Impellam Group - a recovery buy suggest Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore...

07/02/2021

MyHealthChecked - acquisition, building a business of sustainable scale?...

07/01/2021

Burberry CEO deciding to leave a problem? Chris Bailey reviews...

06/30/2021

GlaxoSmithKline - a buy despite the unexcitable CEO? Chris Bailey writes...

06/29/2021

Kefi Gold & Copper - Ethiopia election operational update, Buy...

06/28/2021

Kier - open offer result following subsidiary sale, recovery buy?...

06/25/2021

Ariana Resources - more very positive drilling results. Buy says Nigel Somerville...

06/24/2021

DS Smith - strange name but a great company says Chris Bailey...

06/23/2021

Horizonte Minerals - short-term delay largely irrelevant. Buy says Gary Newman...

06/22/2021

Empresaria - a summer of positive macro-economic tailwinds ahead? From HotStockRockets...

06/21/2021

Pharos Energy - oil discovery and further potential catalysts says HotStockRockets...

06/18/2021

B.P. Marsh & Partners - full-year results, recovery opportunities...

06/17/2021

Serica Energy - plenty to make me think that it will continue to do very well says Gary Newman

06/16/2021

EnQuest - new debt facility, recovery buy says HotStockRockets

06/15/2021

Kefi Gold & Copper - still a risk-reward buy following executive bonus plan victory for investors...

06/14/2021

Asiamet Resources - progressing several key workstreams. Buy says HotStockRockets...

06/11/2021

British American Tobacco - positive pre-close update. Remains a Buy says Chris Bailey...

06/10/2021

Reckitt to sell a business in China but still loves the emerging markets. Chris Bailey writes...

06/09/2021

Bushveld Minerals - vanadium about to enter an up-cycle? Gary Newman writes...

06/08/2021

Anglo Asian Mining - how pleasing and exciting the results announcement?...

06/07/2021

SkinBioTherapeutics - positive study results, still multi-bagger potential?...

06/04/2021

With a new team in place Afentra is a buy says Gary Newman

06/03/2021

Still excited about prospects for Johnson Matthey says Chris Bailey...

06/02/2021

Central Asia Metals - a buy? A review by HotStockRockets...

06/01/2021

Predator Oil & Gas - Morocco and Trinidad updates, more to come from this great share tip?...

05/28/2021

Playtech - good sale & a sensible update. Still undervalued suggests Chris Bailey...

05/27/2021

Smiths Group - CEO change, will the next change be to split the business?

05/26/2021

Biffa loves more waste and more recycling says Chris Bailey...

05/25/2021

Red Rock Resources - Elephant Oil and Juno Minerals investee updates, remains a Strong Buy...

05/24/2021

Power Metal Resources - news flow helps shares, more to come. From HotStockRockets...

05/21/2021

DCC - a compelling medium-term buy suggests Chris Bailey...

05/20/2021

Ariana Resources - more drilling results bode well for Kiziltepe, Buy says Nigel Somerville...

05/19/2021

Sage Group is still a friend of mine says Chris Bailey...

05/18/2021

Touchstone Exploration - Q1 results, an upcoming potential catalysts buy says HotStockRockets

05/17/2021

Predator Oil & Gas - as MOU-1 drilling excitement builds an update from HotStockRockets

05/14/2021

Bacanora Lithium - a buy at a big discount to the possible cash offer price? Gary Newman writes...

05/13/2021

Morrisons is still rudely unloved. A Buy says Chris Bailey...

05/12/2021

Panther Metals - Oz update. Targeting 25p says Nigel Somerville...

05/11/2021

Jadestone Energy - a pleased to announce Malaysia acquisition. We can understand why...

05/10/2021

J Sainsbury - full year results, still income value?...

05/07/2021

Sell in May? Some stocks Yes, gold No, argues Nigel Somerville...

05/06/2021

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